Predictions for Gameweek 30

Dream Team

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 30 is:

Howard
Ivanovic | Cahill | Terry
Hazard | Nolan | Toure | Gerrard
Sturridge (c) | Adebayor | Suarez

with subs
Boruc | Azpilicueta | Vertonghen | Sterling

These are the players with the highest probabilities of scoring 6+ points in each position.

Cleansheets
FFR is tipping lots of clean sheets: Chelsea (at Villa), Everton (vs Cardiff), Liverpool (at Man Utd), Newcastle (at Fulham) and both Arsenal and Tottenham

Form Players
Over the last 5 gameweeks, these players have the highest average points per game

Goalies

Player	Team	Average points per game
Joe Hart	Man City	6.00
David De Gea	Man Utd	5.75

Defenders

Player	Team	Average points per game
Martín Demichelis	Man City	8.00
Patrice Evra	Man Utd	7.50
Branislav Ivanovic	Chelsea	7.40
Pablo Zabaleta	Man City	7.00
Martin Skrtel	Liverpool	6.50

Midfielders

Player	Team	Average points per game
Eden Hazard	Chelsea	9.00
Kevin Nolan	West Ham	8.25
Steven Gerrard	Liverpool	7.50
Gnegneri Yaya Touré	Man City	7.00
Raheem Sterling	Liverpool	6.50

Forwards

Player	Team	Average points per game
Daniel Sturridge	Liverpool	9.75
Luis Suárez	Liverpool	6.75
Emmanuel Adebayor	Tottenham	6.60

Good luck in #GW30.

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Predictions for Gameweek 29

Dream Team

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 29 is:

Cech
Fonte | Shaw | Chambers
Hazard (c) | Mata | Schurrle | Lallana
Van Persie | Adebayor | Lambert

with subs
Ruddy | Ward | Lovren | Adam

These are the players with the highest probabilities of scoring 6+ points in each position.

Cleansheets
FFR is tipping both Southampton and Crystal Palace to keep clean sheets this week, so pity anyone you know who has tickets for Selhurst Park tomorrow

Form Players
Over the last 5 gameweeks, these players have the highest average points per game

Goalies
Lloris (Spurs) 5.2
Cech (Chelsea) 5.2

Defenders
Ivanovic (Chelsea) 8.8
Collins (West Ham) 6.4
Koscielny (Arsenal) 6.6
Evra (Man Utd) 6.2
Skrtel (Liverpool) 5.8

Midfielders
Nolan (West Ham) 9.8
Hazard (Chelsea) 7.8
Gerrard (Liverpool) 6.2
Yaya Toure (Man City) 5.7
Adam (Stoke) 5.6

Forwards
Sturridge (Liverpool) 9.6
Abebayor (Tottenham) 6.6
Suarez (Liverpool) 6.2

Good luck in #GW29.

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Predictions for Gameweek 28

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 28 is:

Cech
Cahill | Terry | Azpilicueta
Nolan | Hazard | Gerrard | Lallana
Sturridge | Adebayor | Giroud

with subs
Lloris | Ivanovic | Olsson | Paulinho

Cleansheets
FFR predicts clean sheets for Chelsea (at Fulham) and that’s it!

Form Players
Over the last 5 gameweeks, these players have the highest average points per game

Goalies
Adrián (West Ham) 7.0
Vito Mannone (Sunderland) 6.5

Defenders
Branislav Ivanovic (Chelsea) 9.8
James Collins (West Ham) 7.6
Chico (Swansea) 6.6
Patrice Evra (Man Utd) 6.2
Jose Fonte (Southampton) 6.2

Midfielders
Kevin Nolan (West Ham) 9.80
Adam Lallana (Southampton) 6.40
Eden Hazard (Chelsea) 6.40
Steven Gerrard (Liverpool) 6.20
Yaya Toure (Man City) 5.75

Forwards
Daniel Sturridge (Liverpool) 11.40
Robin Van Persie (Man Utd) 6.0
Manu Abebayor (Tottenham) 6.0

Good luck in #GW28.

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Predictions for Gameweek 26

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 26 is:

Hart
Kompany | Demichelis | Zabaleta | Kolarov
Johnson | Toure | Silva | Gerrard | Hazard
Sturridge

with subs
Howard | Suarez | Clichy | Dzeko

Cleansheets

FFR predicts clean sheets for Man City (vs Sunderland), Liverpool (at Fulham), West Ham (vs Norwich), Southampton (at Hull), Stoke (vs Swansea) and Everton (vs Crystal Palace)

If you are looking for alternatives in midfield, consider Eriksen and Gerrard. Up front, Benteke, Adebayor or Borini.

Form Players
Over the last 5 gameweeks, these players have the highest average points per game

Goalies
Adrián (West Ham) 7.40
Vito Mannone (Sunderland) 6.20

Defenders
Gary Cahill (Chelsea) 7.20
Branislav Ivanovic (Chelsea) 6.80
Joseph Yobo (Norwich) 6.00
Cesar Azpilicueta (Chelsea) 5.60
Martin Skrtel (Liverpool) 5.60

Midfielders
Adam Johnson (Sunderland) 10.60
Adam Lallana (Southampton) 7.40
Eden Hazard (Chelsea) 7.40
Steven Gerrard (Liverpool) 6.80
Kevin Nolan (West Ham) 6.80

Forwards
Daniel Sturridge (Liverpool) 8.80
Luis Suárez (Liverpool) 7.60
Edin Dzeko (Man City) 6.40

Good luck in #GW26.

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Predictions for Gameweek 25

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 25 is:

Mignolet
Cahill | Terry | Azpilicueta | Fonte |
Johnson | Lallana | Toure | Silva | Cazorla
Suarez | Sturridge

with subs
De Gea | Ivanovic | Puncheon | Dzeko

Cleansheets
FFR correctly picked Chelsea and Southampton to keep clean sheets last week and it is picking them again this week, facing Newcastle and Stoke respectively, each at home. It also forecasts clean sheets for West Ham (at Villa) and Stoke (at Southampton).

If you are looking for alternatives in midfield, consider Eriksen and Gerrard. Up front, Benteke, Adebayor or Borini.

Good luck in #GW25.

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Review of Gameweek 24

Fantasy Football Robot had a reasonably successful week in GW24, scoring 40% precision by making 15 predictions of players that would score 6 points or more and being correct in 6 of them.

Goalies: 0 or 1 correct, 0% precision. Predicted Hart. Wrong again.

Defenders: 4 out of 4 correct, 100% precision. FFR correctly identified that Chelsea would keep a clean sheet at Man City. A very rare feat was that all Defenders avoided getting a yellow card, thus keeping each of them the correct side of 6 points. The next most fancied side to keep a clean sheet (with probabilities narrowly less than 50%) was Southampton and indeed, they succeeded as well.

Midfielders: 2 out of 7 correct, 28.6% precision. Cazorla and Adam Johnson correct.

Forwards: 0 out of 3 correct, 0% precision. Suarez, Dzeko and Adebayor all missed the mark.

FFR Utd, the team formed by the highest probability players, scored 51 points. Compare this to 45 for the average human team, 16 (just 16!) for Random Wanderers (a team of randomly chosen players) and 55 for Moneybags City (a team of the most expensive players). FFR Utd’s points came from Chelsea defenders and Adam Johnson.

Gameweek-by-gameweek summaries of fantasy teams available at
http://fantasy-football-robot.appspot.com/teams?gw=24
and performance statistics at
http://fantasy-football-robot.appspot.com/appraise?gw=24

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Predictions for Gameweek 24

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 24 is:

Hart
Cahill | Terry | Azpilicueta
Toure | Johnson | Navas | Eriksen | Silva
Suarez | Dzeko

with subs
Szczesny | Adebayor | Ivanovic | Fonte

Alternatively in midfield, consider Fernandinho, Cazorla, Lallana and Gerrard.

Cleansheets
FFR forecasts clean sheets this week for Chelsea (but not Man City, bizarrely) and Southampton at Fulham.

Good luck in #GW24.

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Review of Gameweek 22

Predictions for last gameweek from Fantasy Football Robot were again fairly mediocre. A boring success rate of 29.2%. It made 24 predictions of players that would score 6 or more points and was correct in 7 instances

Goalies: 0 or 1 correct, 0% precision. Predicted Hart. Wrong!

Defenders: 4 out of 12 correct, 33.3% precision. FFR correctly identified that Arsenal would keep a clean sheet. FFR was wrong about Sunderland (who conceded twice in the first 40 mins) and Man City.

Midfielders: 3 out of 10 correct, 30% precision. Toure and Navas at Man City correct, and Eriksen at Spurs.

Forwards: 0 out of 1 correct, 0% precision. Suarez ‘only’ scored 5 this week.

FFR Utd, the team formed by the highest probability players, scored 68 points. Compare this to 45 for the average human team, 57 for Random Wanderers (a team of randomly chosen players) and 64 for Moneybags City (a team of the most expensive players). FFR Utd’s points came from Arsenal defenders, Man City midfielders and Adebayor up top.

Gameweek-by-gameweek summaries of fantasy teams available at
http://fantasy-football-robot.appspot.com/teams?gw=22
and performance statistics at
http://fantasy-football-robot.appspot.com/appraise?gw=22

 

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Predictions for Gameweek 23

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 23 is:

Mignolet
Skrtel | Cahill | Terry | Azpilicueta | Cissokho
Johnson | Hazard (c) | Eriksen
Suarez | Adebayor

with subs
Cech | Welbeck | Cazorla | Oscar

This is one of those strange scenarios where the probabilities for some Defenders are higher than the highest of those for Midfielders and Forwards and so…the dream team is defender heavy. I do not think many human players would pick those players and then bench Oscar and Cazorla. I try not to fiddle with the model but that is pretty jarring to see.

Cleansheets
FFR forecasts 7 clean sheets this week. Deep breath, they are: Liverpool (vs Everton), Chelsea (vs West Ham), Swansea (vs Fulham), West Brom (at Villa), Tottenham (vs Man City), Stoke City (at Sunderland) and Everton (at Liverpool). That is the most it has predicted in as single game week this season. They are predicted in descending order of confidence (i.e. Liverpool most likely; Everton borderline likely).

Good luck in #GW23.

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Predictions for Gameweek 22

Fantasy Football Robot‘s forecast dream team for gameweek 22 is:

Hart
Sagna | Mertesacker | Kompany
Navas (c) | Silva | Toure | Hazard | Fernandinho
Suarez | Adebayor

with subs
Szczesny | Welbeck | Koscielny | Kolarov

Obviously fancying Man City to score a hatful. Punchy move making Navas captain.

Cleansheets
FFR forecasts clean sheets for Arsenal (vs Fulham), Man City (vs Cardiff) and Sunderland (vs Southampton).

Good luck in #GW22.

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